EXCLUSIVE: Nigeria’s Crude Oil Production Falls To Lowest In 19 Months Amid Middle-East Crisis


A SaharaReporters’ review of Nigeria’s crude oil production data has shown that in February 2026, an average of 1.483 million barrels of crude oil (plus blended condensate and unblended condensate) was produced.

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The breakdown shows that actual crude oil production stood at 1.313 million barrels daily, blended condensate stood at 48,740 barrels daily and unblended condensate 121,519 daily, totalling 1.483 million barrels daily.

This figure is, however, the lowest recorded within a period of nineteen months, highlighting a concerning downward trend in the country’s oil output in recent times.

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The total produced in January 2026 stood at 1.627 million barrels daily, December 2025 stood at 1.599 million barrels daily, 1.597 million barrels daily in November 2025, 1.581 million barrels daily in October 2025 and 1.631 million barrels daily in September 2025. 

All the above figures are inclusive of blended condensate and unblended condensate.

Further review shows that in August 2025, the total produced daily stood at 1.631 million barrels daily, while that of July 2025 stood at 1.712 million barrels daily. June 2025 daily production stood at 1.697 million barrels daily. Production in May 2025 stood at 1.657 million barrels daily, while that of April 2025 stood at 1.683 million barrels daily.

March 2025 stood at 1.603 million barrels daily, February 2025 production stood at 1.671 million barrels daily, while January 2025 stood at 1.737 million barrels daily. 

In December 2024, the crude oil production figure stood at 1.684 million barrels daily, while that of November 2024 stood at 1.698 million barrels daily. October 2024 stood at 1.533 million barrels daily, while September 2024 production stood at 1.556 million barrels daily. 

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August production stood at 1.580 million barrels daily, while July 2024 production stood at 1.557 million barrels daily. 

All these figures include blended condensate and unblended condensate.

The dip in daily production recorded in February 2026 comes amid the ongoing Middle East crisis, where there have been speculations that Nigeria could record higher sales given disruptions in global crude oil supply markets and shifting demand patterns.

With an actual production of 1.313 million barrels for crude oil in February 2026, if blended condensate and unblended condensate are excluded, it would mean that the country has again failed to meet the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) quota of 1.5 million barrels daily production, raising fresh concerns over output capacity and revenue projections.